Be worldwide 3,508,566 people infected with the coronavirus since the outbreak late last year in the Chinese city of Wuhan. 247,531 people have died from the effects of Covid-19, the disease that causes the coronavirus.
In China, the virus seems to be under control and public life is emerging slowly getting going againeven though the country fears a second wave. In the meantime, the coronavirus has spread rapidly all over the world. At least one infection has been detected in 185 countries. The World Health Organization (WHO) officially speaks of a pandemic.
After China, the epicenter of the outbreak has shifted to northern Italy, 28,884 people have died there. In recent weeks, the epicenter has been located in the United States. The coronavirus has so far been there 67,682 lives demanded, and the death toll is accelerating.
Epicenter is shifting from Europe to the US
China has been able to curb contamination growth according to officially reported figures. Exponential growth is also slowing down for us. That exponential growth, explained here interactively by De Tijdis inherent in this virus, which infects an estimated two to three other people per infected person. Worldwide it is yet another situation, the total number of infections is not decreasing.
The growth of new infections appears to be stalling in Italy, where the corona virus has hit hardest in Europe. But most of the new cases are reported in the United States. Tens of thousands are added to that every day.
Today the US counts in total 1,158,041 infections and 67,682 kill. After an initial hotbed in Seattle on the west coast, New York on the east coast is now the hardest hit. The state has reported half of all infections, most of it in New York City. There, fatalities are increasing at a faster rate than in the hard-hit regions of Lombardy (Italy) and Madrid (Spain).
Meanwhile, China has adjusted its death toll in the hard-hit city of Wuhan. Serious questions are asked about the relatively low death toll. By adding 1,290 deaths to the statistics one day, reportedly people who had died at home and not yet officially registered, the country is trying to parry that criticism. This is how the official death toll in China comes up 4,637.
As in China, the greatest danger appears to be averted in South Korea. This can be seen from the deflecting line in the graph below. The country is praised for its effective approach – mass testing of civilians – with which it got the coronavirus under control. It is an example of the ‘flatten-the-curve strategy’ which, according to experts, is vital: spread the number of infections sufficiently over time, so that the hospitals are not overloaded and do not endanger lives.
The most extreme measures we have seen in France, Spain and Italy, where most of the infections have been detected in Europe. No one is allowed to get out, except for vital necessities, or if telework is impossible. Other countries, such as Austria, are already engaged in post-corona life and are easing measures. It is not yet clear what such an exit strategy should be for our country.
The route of the virus
The coffee grounds continue to monitor the further course of the virus. Mathematical models can guide governments to anticipate the further course of the virus. The question is how reliable those corona models are. Meanwhile, the virus has reached almost every continent in the world.