Coronavirus Figures In India Explained Oct 15: Significant Drop in Daily Deaths

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Written by Amitabh Sinha, edited by Explained Desk | Pune |

Updated: Oct 15, 2020 2:44:29 PM





A man wearing a mask reads a newspaper outside a closed shop in Dharmsala on Friday, October 9, 2020. (AP Photo: Ashwini Bhatia)In addition to the decrease in the number of new infections detected, there has also been a significant decrease in the number of coronavirus-related deaths reported every day. In the past twelve days, the number of deaths has been below 1,000.

As of August 25, India, with few exceptions, is reporting more than 1,000 deaths from coronavirus every day. On some of these days, India was the leading cause of coronavirus-related deaths in the world.

But given the number of new infections, quite inexplicably, has come down in the last month, so did the number of deaths. On Wednesday, 680 deaths from the coronavirus were reported from across the country, the lowest number since July 27. In the past three days, this number has remained below 800.

The decline in deaths is not surprising, as it is indeed related to the number of people who become infected. The trend in deaths usually follows the trend in infection rates with a delay of about two weeks. It has been nearly four weeks since the decline in infections started, while the number of deaths has started to decline in the past two weeks. Still, the sharp drop in the death toll on Thursday is a bit surprising, though welcome.
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About 12,500 deaths from coronavirus have been reported from India in the past two weeks. In the two 14-day periods before that, this number was more than 15,000. India reports the highest number of coronavirus-related deaths in the world after the United States and Brazil.

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Meanwhile, Delhi has started again reporting more than 3,000 new cases per day. The numbers in Delhi had stayed below 3,000 for 12 days, but exceeded that figure on Tuesday and Wednesday. But it is too early to say whether the downward trend in Delhi has been reversed.

One state where the drop in the number of cases is most impressive is Andhra Pradesh, the state with the second highest caseload in the country. In a month, the number of cases has steadily dropped from a level of 10,000 a day to less than 4,000 today. On Wednesday, it registered about 3,900 new cases, the first time this number had fallen below 4,000 on a non-Monday since July 20. From a peak of over 8 percent a day in July, the growth rate has dropped to about 0.6 percent a day now.
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Kerala also appears to be finally showing signs of a decline. In the past three days, the daily contamination levels were significantly lower than those reported recently. The growth rate has fallen below three percent for the first time in more than a month.

Less than 68,000 new cases were discovered nationwide on Wednesday, while more than 81,000 people had recovered from the disease. The recovery is now more than the new infections on 22 of the past 27 days. More than 73 lakh people have been infected with the disease so far, of whom nearly 64 lakh have recovered.

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